Monday, October 6, 2014

Dividend Stocks October 2014

The theory is that you should use the dividend yield to see if a dividend stock is selling at a stock price that is relatively cheap. A stock price is considered cheap if it is selling at a dividend yield higher than the historical high yield or higher than the historical average yield. See my spreadsheet at dividend growth stocks that I just updated for October 2014.

On this list,
  • I have 10 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I have 46 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical average dividend yield and
  • 41 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 5 year average dividend yield.
When I did my list last month,
  • I had 6 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I had 40 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical average dividend yield and
  • 38 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 5 year average dividend yield.
When I did my list in January 2014,
  • I had 9 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I had 45 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical average dividend yield and
  • 39 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 5 year average dividend yield.
Of the stock that I follow 2 have changed their dividends since last month. Dividends changes are denoted in green for increases and red for decreases. Last month there were 9 dividend increases. Part of the reason for fewer dividend increases this month is that I record increases when they are announced. Most dividends increases are announced at least one month ahead. September is a month in Cycle 1 dividend payments. A lot more companies pay dividends in Cycle 1 than in Cycle 2 in which October resides.

Emera Inc. (TSX-EMA) increased their dividends. Just Energy Group Inc. (TSX-JE) decreased their dividends

Saputo Inc. (TSX-SAP) split their stocks two to one. Alliance Grain Traders Inc. changed their name to AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. The Symbol is still AGT. Coast Wholesale Appliances Inc. was bought out by CWAL Investments and was delisted in September 2014. NIBE Industries AB of Sweden ("NIBE") has acquired WaterFurnace. This stock was also delisted in September 2014.

I am showing whether a stock is cheap based on historical high dividend yields (P/Hi), historical average dividend yields (P/Ave) or on 5 year median dividend yields (P/5Yr). See these fields on the right side of the file. You can highlight a particular stock using your cursor to highlight the appropriate line.

There are always some stocks to buy because they are priced reasonably. There are always stocks to currently avoid because they are overpriced. Looking at dividend growth stocks that are selling at stock prices that give them a dividend yield above the historical average dividend yield are probably the best bet.

The stocks that are selling at prices that give them a dividend yield above the historical high yield could be good stocks to buy. However, these stocks may be selling so cheap because of current troubles, especially financial troubles and should be treated with caution. Do not forget that I have all the stocks I follow on this spreadsheet and some are much better investments than others.

However, you should always investigate a stock before you buy. Sometimes different stocks in certain sectors are just out of favour or the stock market is just in one of its declines. However, a stock may be relatively cheap because it has problems. That is why you should always investigate a stock before buying.

Looking at stock this way is equivalent to a stock filter. A main problem I know of is for the old income trusts. These companies have generally lowered their dividend yields forever and they will probably never get back to the old dividend yield highs they made as an income trust company. For these stocks, you might be better comparing the current dividend yield to the 5 year median dividend yield.

Also, on some stocks I have a lot more information years in my spreadsheets than for other stocks. So, finding a stock on the list as cheap is only the first step in finding a stock to buy. This is the same with any other sort of stock filters that you can use.

The last thing to remember is that I have entering figures into a spreadsheet. I could put them in incorrectly, I can transpose figures and I can misread figures. This is another great reason why you should check a stock out before investing. As this is just a filter, it works better on some stocks than on others.

See my entry on my methodology in establishing the historical dividend yield highs and lows for the stocks that I cover. I have an entry on my introduction to Dividend Growth Stocks . You might want to look at my original entry on Dividend Growth Stocks. I have also written about why I like Dividend Growth companies .

On my other blog I am today writing about HNZ Group Inc. (TSX-HNZ.A, OTC- CDHPF) ... continue...

This blog is meant for educational purposes only, and is not to provide investment advice. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.

See my site for an index to these blog entries and for stocks followed. Follow me on Twitter.

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